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Foreclosures Post Big Drop, Reaching 2007 Levels
Daily Real Estate News | January 2012

Foreclosure filings posted a 33 percent drop in 2011, falling to their lowest levels since 2007, RealtyTrac reports. 

During 2011, one in every 69 homes received a foreclosure filing and 804,000 homes were repossessed — compared to 1.05 million homes that were repossessed during the foreclosure crisis peak in 2010, according to RealtyTrac. 

Foreclosures have plagued many communities, putting downward pressure on overall home prices. In the past five years, more than 4 million homes have been lost to foreclosure. 

So is the worst finally over for the housing market? 

Not yet, analysts say. Banks took more time to process foreclosures last year, which explains some of the declines, housing analysts note. In fact, the average process time for a foreclosure rose to 348 days in the fourth quarter, up from 305 days one year prior. 

RealtyTrac CEO Brandon Moore says that while he expects foreclosures to increase in 2012, he also expects foreclosures to  stay well below the 2010 peak. Refinancing programs, such as the government’s Home Affordable Modification Program, are helping more borrowers lower their payments and avoid foreclosure, Moore says.

Still, the biggest problems with foreclosures remains centered in certain areas, particularly where investors helped drive up home prices during the housing boom. For example, Nevada remains the No. 1 foreclosure hot-spot, in which one out of every 16 households received some kind of default notice during 2011. Arizona and California also are continuing to face some of the highest foreclosure rates in the country too, according to RealtyTrac data.

Source: “Foreclosures Fall to Lowest Level Since 2007,” CNNMoney (Jan. 12, 2012)

January 12, 2012
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Reconsider Short Sales

The Real Estate Educator: Given up on Short Sales? Why You Need to Reconsider

Posted By susanne On January 7, 2012 @ 12:02 am In Best Practices,Business Development,Real Estate Information,Real Estate News,Real Estate Training,Real Estate Trends,Today’s Top Story |

[1]I know. Short sales are not easy. Short sales can be problematic. Short sales are not always worth the time and effort. And it’s always the bank’s fault.

This is the classic short-sale lament of our time and for good reason—short sales have been a difficult and frustrating process for all involved: sellers, buyers, agents and banks. But the pendulum is swinging and short sales are moving—now is the time to reinvest in your short-sale strategy.

There are several key reasons why things are starting to change in the short sale arena. First, the facts still speak for themselves. Distressed properties account for approximately 30 percent of the U.S. residential real estate market. While the percentage of homes actually underwater is 15.8 percent, 49 percent of today’s homeowners believe their home is underwater. And an estimated two million homes are currently in the foreclosure pipeline.

Second, and extremely important to note, is the fact that lenders are finally realizing that short sales are really the lesser evil. Loan modifications are few and far between—not because the lender doesn’t want to accommodate them, but because most of these loans have been packaged and sold three or four times over. The rate of return is so small that it’s just not worth it. And, of course, foreclosure is the ultimate fail for the lender.

Third, there is increased pressure on lenders to start moving short sales through the pipeline coming directly from Washington.

The bottom line is that we’re finally reaching some important consensus on short sales. The major lenders/servicers, as well as the investors, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, HUD, etc., now agree that keeping homeowners in their homes by facilitating a short sale is a much better alternative than a foreclosure for the homeowner, servicers, investors and neighborhoods involved.

The timing couldn’t be better for this turning of the tide. There is still a huge supply of short sales on the market, no matter what market you’re talking about.

The “road map” or foundation to a successful short sale outcome starts with understanding the four qualifications for a short sale and then determining whether the client is a good candidate or not. Those four qualifications are:

1. The homeowner must need to sell, not want to sell.

2. The homeowners must be experiencing a genuine hardship that has made a significant change in their life since they took out the loan, which now prevents them from paying the mortgage, such as:

• Loss of job or employment
• Business failure
• Severe illness
• Major health expense
• Divorce
• Legal separation
• Damage to the property
• Job relocation
• Military service
• Death of spouse or wage earner
• Death of non-wage earner
• Property insurance or tax increase
• Payment increase or mortgage adjustment
• Inheritance
• Incarceration

3. It must be clear that the homeowner does not have assets to pay off the mortgage.

4. It must be evident that the homeowner is having or will soon have a financial short fall.

Once you have established that a client meets the above criteria for a short sale, the next steps are all about details, from securing the right information from the seller to successfully translating that information to the lender. We’ll explore this in detail next month. When done correctly, you’ll be surprised at how lucrative this segment has become.

George “Gee” Dunsten, president of Gee Dunsten Seminars, Inc., has been a real estate agent and broker/owner for almost 40 years.

January 7, 2012
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Fed to Begin Publishing Rate Forecast
Daily Real Estate News | January, 2012

Beginning Jan. 25, the Federal Reserve will start to publish a forecast four times a year that includes predictions about the direction of short-term interest rates, The New York Times reports. The report will include a summary of how long the Fed expects to keep short-term rates at current levels.

“More guidance on rates might help lower long-term yields further — in effect providing a kind of stimulus,” the Associated Press reported in an article announcing the change. “Lower rates could lead consumers and businesses to borrow and spend more. The economy would likely benefit.”

The Fed’s move will provide greater insight into its methodology and decision-making. 

Since 2008, the Fed has left its key short-term rate at record lows near zero. This past summer the Fed announced it intended to leave the rate low until at least mid-2013. 

Source: “Fed to Publish a Forecast of Rate Moves, Guiding Investors,” The New York Times (Jan. 3,

January 4, 2012
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What’s in Store for Housing in 2012?
Daily Real Estate News | December2011

The worst for the housing market may finally be over, according to housing experts in a recent article in Kiplinger. After median home price have dropped nearly 40 percent nationwide, a rebound is taking shape — although, housing experts say, the market may stay flat for awhile before gradually ticking up. 

According to housing experts in a recent Kiplinger article, here are some predictions for the real estate market in the coming year:

Home prices stabilize: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, predicts that home prices nationwide may still drop another 3 to 5 percent in 2012, but the new year will most likely finally bring a leveling off of home prices before gains start to take shape in 2013. When markets do begin to stabilize in the new year, “price appreciation tends to spread unevenly, creating a lot of confusion about where the recovery is occurring and when,” David Stiff, chief economist at Fiserv Case-Shiller, told Kiplinger. “Even within a single city, more desirable neighborhoods will stabilize first, while prices in other neighborhoods may fall at a rapid pace.”

Housing affordability high: Housing affordability — the ratio of median home prices to median family income — will likely remain at record levels in 2012. Homes in many cities are “substantially undervalued,” the Kiplinger article notes. That may even lead to a mini bubble with double-digit spikes in prices, such as an increase of 10 to 15 percent in a given year in some markets, housing experts say.  

Low mortgage rates: Helping to keep affordability high, low mortgage rates are expected to continue on in 2012 — at least the first part of the year, economists predict. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, the most popular among home buyers, has been hovering under a 4-percent average the past few weeks, staying in record low territory. Rates are expected to stay between 4 to 5 percent in 2012, predicts Guy Cecala, publisher of Inside Mortgage Finance, an industry publication. 

Sales increases: The National Association of REALTORS® has already been showing a tick up in sales taking shape with increases in existing-home sales during the summer and early fall of 2011. High inventories of homes continue to flood the market but a drastic slowdown in new-home building the past three years is “gradually easing the surplus,” the Kiplinger article notes. 

Foreclosures: Foreclosures remain the problem and still plague many markets. After a slowdown with lenders processing the paperwork, foreclosures have began to pick up once again. About 1.84 million home loans are 90 days or more delinquent and 2.17 million have finished the foreclosure process but aren’t up for sale yet, according to RealtyTrac data. Alex Villacorta, director of research and analytics at Clear Capital, told Kiplinger that he predicts regardless of the downward price pressure caused from foreclosures, overall home prices won’t fall as long as lenders bring additional foreclosures to the housing market at a steady pace. 

Source: “What’s Ahead for Home Prices in 2012,” Kiplinger (January 2012)

December 28, 2011
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Despite Improvements, Foreclosure Concerns Remain

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Daily Real Estate News | December, 2011

Foreclosures continued to fall in November, dropping 3 percent from October and 14 percent year-over-year, according to the latest data from RealtyTrac. 

Repossessions — the last stage of the foreclosure process — are down 45 percent from the peak reached in September 2010, in which 102,000 homes were repossessed in foreclosure compared to 56,124 in November 2011. 

Following last fall’s robo-signing scandal, banks have been slowing the foreclosure process as they spend more time reviewing paperwork before taking action and doing more loan workouts, which has caused foreclosures to slow the last few months.

But a new wave of foreclosures may be looming in the new year, experts warn. 

“Despite a seasonal slowdown similar to what we’ve seen in each of the past four years, November’s numbers suggest a new set of incoming foreclosure waves, many of which may roll into the market as REOs or short sales sometimes early next year,” James Saccacio, CEO of RealtyTrac, told CNNMoney.

Signaling possible trouble ahead in the November data, according to RealtyTrac, is the uptick in bank auctions. Scheduled auction sales soared 13 percent in November compared to October. “Many of the new defaults that started the foreclosure process over the past few months are now being scheduled for public foreclosure auction,” Saccacio said.

Yet, one positive signal: Initial default notices — the first notice banks send out to borrowers when they’ve missed a payment — dropped 8 percent in November from October, and is down 9 percent year-over-year. 

Source: “Foreclosures Fall, But Outlook Isn’t Bright,” CNNMoney

December 19, 2011
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